2005 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
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Bank of Canada Announcement
Definition
The Bank of Canada Governing Council meets and makes an announcement about every six weeks to indicate the near-term direction of monetary policy. The announcement conveys to the financial markets and investors if and what change in policy might be. Why Investors Care

Highlights
As expected, the Bank of Canada kept its key interest rate at 2.5 percent where it has been since October 19.2004. Inflation remains under control but economic growth has been hit hard by the high flying Canadian dollar. The dollar has hit exports while making imports more affordable. Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge recently said that the Bank would move more slowly than it had expected on raising rates, because of the stronger Canadian dollar's effect of helping to lower exports and increase imports. But he also said current rates remain historically low and that they inevitably at some point will have to go up.

In its statement, the Bank said: "Since the release of the January Monetary Policy Report Update, the accumulated information on the Canadian and global economies has been broadly consistent with the Bank's expectations. Although the Canadian National Accounts indicated that output growth in the fourth quarter of 2004 was somewhat lower than anticipated in the Update, upward revisions to growth earlier in the year imply a level of economic activity at year end that is in line with the Bank's expectations. The outlook for the Canadian economy and inflation, the analysis of the factors at play, and the implications for the pace of reduction in monetary stimulus are essentially unchanged from those that the Bank presented in January's Update. Consistent with this assessment, the Bank decided to leave the target for the overnight rate unchanged."

Trends
[Chart] The Bank of Canada has an inflation target: a 1-to-3 percent range with a specific focus at the 2-percent midpoint. To better track the core rate of inflation, the Bank uses a consumer price index that excludes eight volatile components: fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products (as well as the effect of changes in indirect taxes on the remaining components.) The interest rate was 2 percent from April 13, 2004 until September 8, 2004 when it was raised by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent. The Bank followed with a second 25 basis point increase to 2.5 percent on October 19, 2004 where it remained until September 7th of this year when the Bank increased rates to 2.75 percent and on October 18th, to 3 percent. Today's increase to 3.25 percent narrows the spread between U.S. and Canadian rates to 75 basis points.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

 
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